Thinking 01

European power & strategy

Europe is not weak, but it suffers from a psychology of weakness.
The argument

Europe has enormous economic, technological, political and diplomatic resources. Yet it repeatedly struggles to convert them into strategic influence.

The problem is partly institutional. But it is also psychological and political: an instinct to minimise risks, preserve unanimity at all costs and react to events rather than shape them.

For years, the European debate focused on strategic autonomy. I increasingly think the more useful concept is strategic initiative.

Autonomy is about having the capacity to act. Initiative is about using it to shape events.
Featured
POLITICO · 2025

Europe's Psychology of Weakness

Why does Europe so often talk and behave as though it were weaker than it is? The problem is not simply resources, but self-confidence and a reluctance to exercise power.

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Further reading

EUISS · 2025

Europe should be willing to take more risks

Power requires accepting risk rather than continually seeking to eliminate it.

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Financial Times · 2024

How to reboot EU foreign policy

An institutional agenda for making European foreign policy more effective.

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EUISS · 2024

Creating a Council for the Defence of Europe

A proposal for a smaller political forum capable of protecting Europeans in a world of escalating threats.

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CER · 2002

Shaping a credible EU foreign policy

More than two decades ago, the question was already how Europe could turn its collective weight into credible foreign-policy influence.

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